Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- $393M
- Worst year
- $192M
- Latest · 2025
- $774M
# Wintrust Financial (WTFC.US) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/WTFC Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:33:13.611Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: $143.54 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low $123.88 per share, central $154.85 per share, high $206.47 per share. Buy at or below the central value $154.85 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:33:13.611Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 10.3% at the stated quote. About 10.3% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 10 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.13× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: $192M - FY2017: $248M - FY2018: $335M - FY2019: $347M - FY2020: $272M - FY2021: $438M - FY2022: $482M - FY2023: $595M - FY2024: $667M - FY2025: $774M ### moat: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 12.1% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 10.0% - Cost / income, median: 62.9% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 10.0% - FY2017: 10.6% - FY2018: 13.3% - FY2019: 12.1% - FY2020: 9.0% - FY2021: 12.9% - FY2022: 11.7% - FY2023: 12.6% - FY2024: 12.3% - FY2025: 12.2% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 14.2% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: $30.90 - Ending book value per share: $93.72 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 17.0% - FY2017: 18.1% - FY2018: 9.2% - FY2019: 15.8% - FY2020: 7.4% - FY2021: 16.3% - FY2022: 19.5% - FY2023: 11.5% - FY2024: 13.2% - FY2025: 14.7% ### management: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity - ordinary share count growth exceeds 2% annually in both the full and five-year windows - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 2.7% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 3.2% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 2.7% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 3.2% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.26× - Book value created per share: $62.81 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: $49.78 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 104 - FY2017: 109 - FY2018: 110 - FY2019: 111 - FY2020: 112 - FY2021: 111 - FY2022: 116 - FY2023: 120 - FY2024: 125 - FY2025: 131 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Deposits, annualized growth: 12.0% - Known restatement years: 0 - Years loan growth exceeded twice deposit growth: 0 - Years credit losses exceeded peer median: 2 ## Holders - [Andrew Adams](https://gigainvestors.com/MPF): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. ## Price story The price assumes profits grow 5.7% a year forever · net income +16.1% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:53.411Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 5.7% a year forever ### Net income · FY2025 net income +16.1%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1015328/000101532826000007/wtfc-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-26. - FY2016: $192M - FY2017: $248M - FY2018: $335M - FY2019: $347M - FY2020: $272M - FY2021: $438M - FY2022: $482M - FY2023: $595M - FY2024: $667M - FY2025: $774M ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in regional banking; annual sales are USD 2.7 billion. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1015328/000101532826000007/wtfc-20251231.htm#000101532826000007 (filed 2026-02-26); FY2025: revenue 2725992000. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); WTFC.US: Wintrust Financial Corporation, a financial holding company, provides community-oriented, personal, and commercial banking services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Community Banking, Specialty Finance, and Wealth Management. The Community Banking segment offers non-interest-bearing deposits, non-brokered interest-bearing transaction accounts, and savings and domestic time deposits; home equity, consumer, and real estate loans; safe deposit facilities; and automatic teller machine, online and mobile banking, and other services. This segment also engages in the retail origination of residential mortgages; provision of lending, deposits, and treasury management services to condominium, homeowner, and community associations; and asset-based lending for middle-market companies. In addition, it provides loan and deposit services to mortgage brokerage companies; lending to restaurant franchisees; direct leasing; small business administration loans; commercial mortgages and construction loans; and financial solutions. The Specialty Finance segment offers commercial and life insurance premiums financing for businesses and individuals; accounts receivable financing, value-added, and out-sourced administrative services, including data processing of payrolls, billing, and cash management services to temporary staffing industry; other specialty finance services; equipment financing through structured loan and lease products; and property and casualty insurance premium financing. The Wealth Management segment provides wealth management services, such as trust and investment, tax-deferred like-kind exchange, asset management, and securities brokerage services. Wintrust Financial Corporation was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois. ### Why customers stay It earns 12.1% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-26); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.09998430289793453],[2017,0.10628553691122664],[2018,0.13292275213739654],[2019,0.12091171350600718],[2020,0.08988605270856471],[2021,0.1287750548676769],[2022,0.11688984181030049],[2023,0.12598864610224864],[2024,0.12294916844294662],[2025,0.12166960354915386]]; median 0.12129065852758053. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back USD 412.5 million of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-26); Dividend observations: [[2016,38568000],[2017,40543000],[2018,50987000],[2019,65110000],[2020,85890000],[2021,98629000],[2022,108210000],[2023,27964000],[2024,143280000],[2025,169423000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1015328/000101532826000007/wtfc-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-26); FY2025: cash repurchases 412500000 USD. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 1.4% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); WTFC.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 1.4080000000000001 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 5.7% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-26); Price 143.54; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 6.194180578221353; discount 0.1; growth 0.05684700725775845. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (USD per share) - 2016-10: $53.95 per share - 2016-11: $65.84 per share - 2016-12: $72.57 per share - 2017-01: $71.60 per share - 2017-02: $73.70 per share - 2017-03: $69.12 per share - 2017-04: $70.86 per share - 2017-05: $68.76 per share - 2017-06: $76.44 per share - 2017-07: $75.31 per share - 2017-08: $72.81 per share - 2017-09: $78.31 per share - 2017-10: $81.29 per share - 2017-11: $83.85 per share - 2017-12: $82.37 per share - 2018-01: $85.90 per share - 2018-02: $84.51 per share - 2018-03: $86.05 per share - 2018-04: $89.45 per share - 2018-05: $92.11 per share - 2018-06: $87.05 per share - 2018-07: $87.73 per share - 2018-08: $88.55 per share - 2018-09: $84.94 per share - 2018-10: $76.14 per share - 2018-11: $77.35 per share - 2018-12: $66.49 per share - 2019-01: $71.14 per share - 2019-02: $73.67 per share - 2019-03: $67.33 per share - 2019-04: $76.20 per share - 2019-05: $67.74 per share - 2019-06: $73.16 per share - 2019-07: $71.54 per share - 2019-08: $62.83 per share - 2019-09: $64.63 per share - 2019-10: $63.82 per share - 2019-11: $67.91 per share - 2019-12: $70.90 per share - 2020-01: $63.28 per share - 2020-02: $53.41 per share - 2020-03: $32.86 per share - 2020-04: $41.90 per share - 2020-05: $42.36 per share - 2020-06: $43.62 per share - 2020-07: $42.80 per share - 2020-08: $43.52 per share - 2020-09: $40.05 per share - 2020-10: $49.23 per share - 2020-11: $54.49 per share - 2020-12: $61.09 per share - 2021-01: $60.19 per share - 2021-02: $73.66 per share - 2021-03: $75.80 per share - 2021-04: $77.10 per share - 2021-05: $80.42 per share - 2021-06: $75.63 per share - 2021-07: $71.40 per share - 2021-08: $74.84 per share - 2021-09: $80.37 per share - 2021-10: $88.50 per share - 2021-11: $87.53 per share - 2021-12: $90.82 per share - 2022-01: $98.07 per share - 2022-02: $99.36 per share - 2022-03: $92.93 per share - 2022-04: $87.32 per share - 2022-05: $87.39 per share - 2022-06: $80.15 per share - 2022-07: $86.04 per share - 2022-08: $84.34 per share - 2022-09: $81.55 per share - 2022-10: $93.62 per share - 2022-11: $91.43 per share - 2022-12: $84.52 per share - 2023-01: $91.47 per share - 2023-02: $92.13 per share - 2023-03: $72.95 per share - 2023-04: $68.37 per share - 2023-05: $63.57 per share - 2023-06: $72.62 per share - 2023-07: $84.36 per share - 2023-08: $77.61 per share - 2023-09: $75.50 per share - 2023-10: $74.69 per share - 2023-11: $85.67 per share - 2023-12: $92.75 per share - 2024-01: $96.98 per share - 2024-02: $96.35 per share - 2024-03: $104.39 per share - 2024-04: $96.64 per share - 2024-05: $98.61 per share - 2024-06: $98.56 per share - 2024-07: $108.20 per share - 2024-08: $108.80 per share - 2024-09: $108.53 per share - 2024-10: $115.89 per share - 2024-11: $138.01 per share - 2024-12: $124.71 per share - 2025-01: $130.81 per share - 2025-02: $124.47 per share - 2025-03: $112.46 per share - 2025-04: $111.17 per share - 2025-05: $119.41 per share - 2025-06: $123.98 per share - 2025-07: $127.98 per share - 2025-08: $137.29 per share - 2025-09: $132.44 per share - 2025-10: $130.02 per share - 2025-11: $134.02 per share - 2025-12: $139.82 per share - 2026-01: $147.49 per share - 2026-02: $144.06 per share - 2026-03: $138.94 per share - 2026-04: $150.57 per share - 2026-05: $150.23 per share - 2026-06: $160.72 per share - 2026-07: $159.54 per share - 2026-08: $150.36 per share - 2026-09: $141.82 per share - 2026-10: $143.54 per share ## Annual estimated value (USD per share) - FY2016: low $20.32 per share, central $25.41 per share, high $33.87 per share - FY2017: low $21.98 per share, central $27.48 per share, high $36.64 per share - FY2018: low $26.51 per share, central $33.13 per share, high $44.18 per share - FY2019: low $32.83 per share, central $41.04 per share, high $54.71 per share - FY2020: low $37.33 per share, central $46.67 per share, high $62.22 per share - FY2021: low $44.32 per share, central $55.39 per share, high $73.86 per share - FY2022: low $54.84 per share, central $68.55 per share, high $91.40 per share - FY2023: low $78.66 per share, central $98.32 per share, high $131.09 per share - FY2024: low $101.29 per share, central $126.61 per share, high $168.82 per share - FY2025: low $117.95 per share, central $147.44 per share, high $196.58 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources [Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1015328/000101532826000007/wtfc-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-02-26. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
WTFC · US
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 12.1% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year 10% (minimum 5%).
Book value plus dividends grew 14.2% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was 2.7% over the full period and 3.2% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 10.43 USD.
| Value range | $123.88 – $206.47 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value $154.85 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 143.54 / 154.85 = 7.3% |
| Return / year | About 10.3% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book USD 98.43/share; ROE 12.3%; first payout USD 6.19/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |